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Will Kalshi win the lawsuit in the US Ninth Circuit by March 2027?

Kalshi suffered a legal setback in the US Ninth Circuit, as reported in September 2026, related to its event prediction market… 38 opinions, 71% No

  • Yes — 29%
  • No — 71%

Deadline: March 18, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 38 opinions

Resolution rules

Kalshi suffered a legal setback in the US Ninth Circuit, as reported in September 2026, related to its event prediction market operations.

Source: nexteventhorizon.substack.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução: Sim se o Nono Circuito dos EUA emitir decisão favorável à Kalshi em seu recurso até 18/03/2027. Fonte primária: decisão publicada no sistema federal de tribunais (PACER) ou notícia de veículo jurídico especializado como Bloomberg Law ou Law360.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 71% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 29 points, a wrong one costs about 71.

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Will Kalshi win the lawsuit in the US Ninth Circuit by March 2027? — 71% No · VoxFi