World · Open for opinions
Will euro zone inflation fall back below 3% (annualized) by May 2027?
In October 2026, euro zone inflation reached 4%—its highest level in three years—driven by energy costs related to the conflict in… 89 opinions, 65% No
- Yes — 35%
- No — 65%
Deadline: May 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions
Resolution rules
In October 2026, euro zone inflation reached 4%—its highest level in three years—driven by energy costs related to the conflict in the Strait of Hormuz and the effects of U.S. tariffs. The drop in oil prices and the prospect of geopolitical easing following the results
Source: www.theguardian.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o índice de inflação harmonizado (HICP) da zona do euro, divulgado pelo Eurostat, registrar leitura abaixo de 3,0% (variação anual) em qualquer dos dados mensais oficiais referentes ao período até maio de 2027. Caso todos os dados até então permaneçam em 3,0% ou acima, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.