World · Open for opinions
Will US inflation return to the 2% annual target by December 2026?
According to the minutes of the July 2026 FOMC meeting (federalreserve.gov), inflation remained elevated during the meeting period,… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
According to the minutes of the July 2026 FOMC meeting (federalreserve.gov), inflation remained elevated during the meeting period, with long-term inflation expectations still consistent with the 2% target, but short-term data still above the objective.
Source: www.federalreserve.gov
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com 'Sim' se o índice PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) anual divulgado pelo Bureau of Economic Analysis referente a novembro de 2026 ou anterior registrar variação de 12 meses igual ou inferior a 2,0%. Caso contrário, resolve com 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.