Finance · Open for opinions
Will the combined monthly volume of Kalshi and Polymarket exceed US$ 20 billion by December 2026?
In September 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket together recorded US$ 12 billion in activity in the previous month, up 400% year-over-year,… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
In September 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket together recorded US$ 12 billion in activity in the previous month, up 400% year-over-year, according to American press sources.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se qualquer relatório oficial divulgado pelas próprias plataformas Kalshi e/ou Polymarket, ou reportagem de veículo financeiro de referência (Bloomberg, Reuters, Financial Times), confirmar que o volume mensal combinado dessas duas plataformas atingiu ou superou US$ 20 bilhões em qualquer mês até 31/12/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.