Finance · Open for opinions
Will U.S. federal regulators impose formal penalties on Kalshi or Polymarket for suspicious trading linked to military events by February 28, 2027?
More than 150 wallets on Polymarket allegedly traded based on insider information about U.S. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
More than 150 wallets on Polymarket allegedly traded based on insider information about U.S. military operations, leading regulators to request information from the platforms.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se a CFTC ou outro regulador federal dos EUA emitir ordem formal de penalidade, multa ou restrição de operações contra Kalshi e/ou Polymarket relacionada especificamente a negociações suspeitas vinculadas a operações militares, conforme comunicado oficial publicado até 28/02/2027. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.