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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the European Central Bank (ECB) keep interest rates unchanged at its next monetary policy meeting?

October 2026 analysis indicates that the ECB is expected to hold rates despite eurozone consumer inflation rising to 3.8% due to… 85 opinions, 78% Yes

  • Yes — 78%
  • No — 22%

Deadline: November 5, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 85 opinions

Resolution rules

October 2026 analysis indicates that the ECB is expected to hold rates despite eurozone consumer inflation rising to 3.8% due to energy prices, while it monitors deteriorating fiscal conditions and rising French bond yields.

Source: realeconomy.rsmus.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução com base na decisão oficial do BCE divulgada no site ecb.europa.eu após a próxima reunião do Conselho do BCE. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se as três taxas de referência do BCE (depósito, operações principais, crédito marginal) permanecerem inalteradas em relação aos níveis de 2026-10-23.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 78% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 22 points, a wrong one costs about 78.

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Will the European Central Bank (ECB) keep interest rates unchanged… — 78% Yes · VoxFi