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Finance · Open for opinions

Will Brazil's gross public debt exceed 85% of GDP before the end of 2026?

Brazil's public debt reached 82.9% of GDP and R$ 11 trillion, an unprecedented level outside the pandemic period, with record… 74 opinions, 58% No

  • Yes — 42%
  • No — 58%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 74 opinions

Resolution rules

Brazil's public debt reached 82.9% of GDP and R$ 11 trillion, an unprecedented level outside the pandemic period, with record spending putting pressure on public accounts.

Source: www.gazetadopovo.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido com base no dado oficial de Dívida Bruta do Governo Geral (DBGG) divulgado pelo Banco Central do Brasil. Se qualquer leitura mensal publicada até 31/12/2026 indicar valor igual ou superior a 85% do PIB, resolve-se 'Sim'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 58% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 42 points, a wrong one costs about 58.

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Will Brazil's gross public debt exceed 85% of GDP before the end of… — 58% No · VoxFi