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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the U.S. Supreme Court formally accept the case on prediction market regulation by the end of 2026?

According to The Hill (08/09/2026), the regulatory issue of prediction markets has reached the doors of the U.S. 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

According to The Hill (08/09/2026), the regulatory issue of prediction markets has reached the doors of the U.S. Supreme Court, signaling possible judicial review of the sector.

Source: thehill.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se a Suprema Corte dos EUA emitir ordem (certiorari ou equivalente) aceitando o caso sobre regulação de mercados de previsão até 31/12/2026, conforme reportado por fonte oficial do tribunal (supremecourt.gov) ou agência de notícias como AP ou Reuters.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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