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Politics · Open for opinions

Will Mitch McConnell leave the Senate before the end of his term (Jan/2027)?

An active market on Polymarket asks whether McConnell will leave his seat before the end of his term in January 2027. 30 opinions, 67% No

  • Yes — 33%
  • No — 67%

Deadline: January 3, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 30 opinions

Resolution rules

An active market on Polymarket asks whether McConnell will leave his seat before the end of his term in January 2027.

Source: polymarket.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se McConnell renunciar ou for afastado do Senado antes de 3 de janeiro de 2027, data oficial do fim do mandato. Fonte: Secretaria do Senado dos EUA (senate.gov).

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 67% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 33 points, a wrong one costs about 67.

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