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Politics · Open for opinions

Will the Clarity Act (H.R.3633) be signed into law in the US by 2026?

Prediction markets on DeFi Rate price a 95% probability of the Clarity Act being signed into law in 2026, signaling broad market… 40 opinions, 93% Yes

  • Yes — 93%
  • No — 8%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 40 opinions

Resolution rules

Prediction markets on DeFi Rate price a 95% probability of the Clarity Act being signed into law in 2026, signaling broad market expectation regarding the regulation of event contracts.

Source: defirate.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução confirmada quando o presidente dos EUA assinar o Clarity Act (H.R.3633), registrado oficialmente no congress.gov como lei promulgada até 31/12/2026.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 93% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 7 points, a wrong one costs about 93.

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Will the Clarity Act (H.R.3633) be signed into law in the US by 2026? — 93% Yes · VoxFi