Finance · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi or Polymarket file an IPO registration with the SEC by November 30, 2026?
Consider IPO registration filings between 10/10 and 11/30 following strong expansion of pre-IPO funds in the sector. 79 opinions, 80% No
- Yes — 20%
- No — 80%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider IPO registration filings between 10/10 and 11/30 following strong expansion of pre-IPO funds in the sector.
Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 10/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Kalshi Inc. ou a Polymarket registrarem publicamente pedido de oferta pública inicial (Form S-1 ou F-1) junto à SEC até 30/11/2026, verificável no sistema EDGAR em sec.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 80% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 20 points, a wrong one costs about 80.