Politics · Open for opinions
Will the U.S. Congress pass legislation with stricter restrictions on prediction markets (such as Kalshi and Polymarket) by February 2027?
The U.S. 22 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 22 opinions
Resolution rules
The U.S. Senate debated restrictions on the prediction market, and lawmakers increased regulatory pressures amid the sector's explosive growth, which surpassed $40 billion in volume in 2025.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Congresso dos EUA aprovar e o presidente sancionar uma lei que imponha novas restrições regulatórias a plataformas de mercados de previsão até 28/02/2027, conforme registro oficial do Congresso (congress.gov). Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.