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Technology · Open for opinions

What will be Anthropic's valuation at its IPO?

The S-1 filed in October 2026 exposes billion-dollar training costs and commitments of up to $1… 87 opinions, 43% Between $100 billion and $200 billion

  • Less than $50 billion — 5%
  • Between $50 billion and $100 billion — 20%
  • Between $100 billion and $200 billion — 43%
  • More than $200 billion — 33%

Deadline: April 30, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions

Resolution rules

The S-1 filed in October 2026 exposes billion-dollar training costs and commitments of up to $1 trillion in infrastructure by 2045, raising expectations for market capitalization at the IPO.

Source: imasters.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve com base no valuation implícito no preço de abertura das ações multiplicado pelo total de ações em circulação, conforme divulgado no prospecto definitivo (S-1/A) registrado na SEC ou no primeiro dia de negociação. Fonte primária: SEC EDGAR ou comunicado oficial da Anthropic.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Between $100 billion and $200 billion has 43% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 57 points, a wrong one costs about 43.

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What will be Anthropic's valuation at its IPO? — 43% Between $100 billion and $200 billion · VoxFi