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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the British FCA publish authorization or a rule for polls by November 30, 2026?

Considers regulatory measures by the British authority between 10/07 and 11/30 after the start of official talks with the platforms. 76 opinions, 70% No

  • Yes — 30%
  • No — 70%

Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 76 opinions

Resolution rules

Considers regulatory measures by the British authority between 10/07 and 11/30 after the start of official talks with the platforms.

Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 07/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) do Reino Unido publicar diretriz, consulta formal ou autorização para plataformas como Kalshi ou Polymarket até 30/11/2026, conforme divulgado no site oficial fca.org.uk. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 70% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 30 points, a wrong one costs about 70.

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Will the British FCA publish authorization or a rule for polls by… — 70% No · VoxFi