Finance · Open for opinions
Will the commercial US dollar close above R$ 5.50 on any trading day until October 31, 2026?
The commercial US dollar closed at R$ 5.22 on 10/02/2026, up 0.52%, pressured by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and… 74 opinions, 68% No
- Yes — 32%
- No — 68%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 74 opinions
Resolution rules
The commercial US dollar closed at R$ 5.22 on 10/02/2026, up 0.52%, pressured by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and expectations surrounding US employment data (Payroll). An additional rise of about 5.4% would be needed to reach R$ 5.50.
Source: valor.globo.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base na cotação oficial de fechamento do dólar comercial (PTAX) divulgada pelo Banco Central do Brasil (bcb.gov.br). Resolve 'Sim' se a PTAX de venda registrar valor igual ou superior a R$ 5,50 em qualquer sessão até 31/10/2026. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 68% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 32 points, a wrong one costs about 68.