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Will sports continue to be the category with the largest share of Kalshi's trading volume (above 60%) throughout Q4 2026?

From July 2024 to April 2026, sports accounted for 80% of volume on Kalshi. 62 opinions, 68% Yes

  • Yes — 68%
  • No — 32%

Deadline: January 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 62 opinions

Resolution rules

From July 2024 to April 2026, sports accounted for 80% of volume on Kalshi. Recent volume growth has been largely attributed to sports betting, which has dominated the platform since the 2024 elections.

Source: dealroom.co

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução baseada em relatório público da Kalshi, Pew Research ou DeFiRate referente a outubro-dezembro de 2026 indicando que esportes representam mais de 60% do volume total de contratos negociados na plataforma no período.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 68% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 32 points, a wrong one costs about 68.

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Will sports continue to be the category with the largest share of… — 68% Yes · VoxFi