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Technology · Open for opinions

Will the FTC or DOJ launch an official AI cartel investigation against Big Tech by October 31?

Consider announcements between 09/14 and 10/31 motivated by allegations that the AI advance 'security pact' is actually a cartel. 35 opinions, 69% No

  • Yes — 31%
  • No — 69%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 35 opinions

Resolution rules

Consider announcements between 09/14 and 10/31 motivated by allegations that the AI advance 'security pact' is actually a cartel.

Source: www.theverge.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 14/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a FTC ou o DOJ anunciarem oficialmente investigação antitruste focada em conluio ou cartel de desenvolvimento de IA entre Big Techs. A confirmação exige press release nos sites oficiais (ftc.gov ou justice.gov) ou confirmação por Reuters e Bloomberg. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 69% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 31 points, a wrong one costs about 69.

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Will the FTC or DOJ launch an official AI cartel investigation… — 69% No · VoxFi