Finance · Open for opinions
Will the CFTC publish a final rule on event contracts for prediction markets by November 30, 2026?
Consider the publication of formal regulation by the CFTC between 10/19 and 11/30 following public debate. 81 opinions, 60% No
- Yes — 40%
- No — 60%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 81 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider the publication of formal regulation by the CFTC between 10/19 and 11/30 following public debate.
Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 19/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Commodity Futures participação Commission (CFTC) publicar no Federal Register ou em seu portal oficial uma resolução final regulamentando contratos de eventos até 30/11/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.