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Science · Open for opinions

Will the BepiColombo mission (ESA/JAXA) successfully complete orbital insertion around Mercury?

On September 3, 2026, the BepiColombo mission took its first critical step toward arriving at Mercury, as broadcast live by ESA. 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: March 8, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

On September 3, 2026, the BepiColombo mission took its first critical step toward arriving at Mercury, as broadcast live by ESA. Full orbital insertion is still to come.

Source: www.esa.int

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se a ESA ou JAXA confirmarem oficialmente, em seus canais de comunicação (esa.int ou jaxa.jp), que a BepiColombo completou a inserção orbital em Mercúrio sem falhas críticas. Resolve como 'Não' caso a missão falhe, seja abortada ou não haja confirmação até a data de fechamento.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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Will the BepiColombo mission (ESA/JAXA) successfully complete… — 50% Yes · VoxFi