Finance · Open for opinions
Will Brazil's gross government debt exceed 84% of GDP by the end of 2026?
The gross government debt has already reached 82.5% of GDP, the highest level in 5 years, according to recent data, amid heated… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The gross government debt has already reached 82.5% of GDP, the highest level in 5 years, according to recent data, amid heated fiscal debate between Lula's campaign and the Central Bank.
Source: tvsimbrasil.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base no dado oficial de Dívida Bruta do Governo Geral (DBGG) como percentual do PIB, divulgado pelo Banco Central do Brasil (nota de política fiscal). Utiliza o dado referente a dezembro de 2026, publicado pelo BCB. Se o valor superar 84%, resolve 'Sim'. Fonte: bcb.gov.br.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.