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Politics · Open for opinions

Will the Democratic candidate win the Pennsylvania gubernatorial election in November 2026?

The 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election is one of the most closely watched races in U.S. 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

The 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election is one of the most closely watched races in U.S. prediction markets, as highlighted by WFMZ (source [1]). The state is considered a national political bellwether.

Source: www.facebook.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o candidato do Partido Democrata for declarado vencedor oficial da eleição para governador da Pensilvânia em novembro de 2026, conforme resultado certificado pela Secretaria de Estado da Pensilvânia (www.vote.pa.gov). Resolve como 'Não' caso contrário.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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Will the Democratic candidate win the Pennsylvania gubernatorial… — 50% Yes · VoxFi