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Will the Federal Reserve cut the benchmark interest rate (Fed Funds Rate) before the end of 2026?

Trump said there is 'no reason' for interest rates to remain high and praised Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, amid inflationary pressure… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

Trump said there is 'no reason' for interest rates to remain high and praised Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, amid inflationary pressure linked to the conflict with Iran.

Source: www.facebook.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve com 'Sim' se o FOMC anunciar, em qualquer reunião até e incluindo dezembro de 2026, redução da faixa-alvo do Fed Funds Rate em relação ao nível vigente em 1º de setembro de 2026. Fonte: comunicado oficial do Fed (federalreserve.gov).

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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Will the Federal Reserve cut the benchmark interest rate (Fed Funds… — 50% Yes · VoxFi