Technology · Open for opinions
Will the CFTC investigation into Polymarket trading result in formal enforcement action by December 31, 2026?
The CFTC has opened an investigation into Polymarket trading involving possible insider trading in markets tied to presidential… 26 opinions, 81% No
- Yes — 19%
- No — 81%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 26 opinions
Resolution rules
The CFTC has opened an investigation into Polymarket trading involving possible insider trading in markets tied to presidential pardons and tensions with Iran, according to a recent Wired report.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução: publicação de comunicado oficial de ação formal de enforcement (order, complaint ou settlement) pelo CFTC em seu site oficial (cftc.gov) citando a Polymarket, até 31/12/2026. Se nenhum comunicado for publicado até essa data, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 81% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 19 points, a wrong one costs about 81.