Technology · Open for opinions
Will the number of registered prediction markets in the US exceed 15 by the end of 2026?
With Kalshi's court victory to offer election betting and the arrival of new competitors, the number of registered prediction… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
With Kalshi's court victory to offer election betting and the arrival of new competitors, the number of registered prediction markets in the US reached 13 in August 2026, according to the New York Times.
Source: www.nytimes.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se a CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) ou fonte regulatória oficial dos EUA confirmar que 16 ou mais plataformas de mercados de previsão estão registradas/autorizadas a operar até 31/12/2026. Resolve 'Não' caso contrário. Fonte de referência: registros públicos da CFTC ou cobertura de veículos especializados como Bloomberg Law ou Reuters.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.