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Will the annual US inflation rate (CPI) fall below 3% by December 2026?

While political statements claim that 'inflation has fallen off a cliff', Fed Chair Warsh warned that inflation remains stubbornly… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

While political statements claim that 'inflation has fallen off a cliff', Fed Chair Warsh warned that inflation remains stubbornly above target, and Trump is pushing for rate cuts that could complicate price control.

Source: www.wusa9.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se a leitura do CPI (Consumer Price Index) anual divulgada pelo Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) referente a novembro ou dezembro de 2026 for inferior a 3,0%. Resolve como 'Não' caso contrário. Fonte: BLS (bls.gov).

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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