Finance · Open for opinions
Will a federal court issue an unfavorable ruling (conviction or injunction) against Kalshi or Polymarket in the consumer protection lawsuits by February 2027?
Prediction market operators, including Polymarket and Kalshi, are being targeted by consumer protection lawsuits, representing a new… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Prediction market operators, including Polymarket and Kalshi, are being targeted by consumer protection lawsuits, representing a new legal front amid intensifying regulatory scrutiny of the industry.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução positiva se um tribunal federal publicar sentença ou liminar que condene ou restrinja operações da Kalshi ou da Polymarket em ação de proteção ao consumidor. Fonte: PACER (sistema federal de registros judiciais dos EUA) ou cobertura do Bloomberg Law.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.