Finance · Open for opinions
Will Copom raise the Selic rate at the December 2026 meeting?
On the eve of the November Copom decision, the stock market dropped by more than 1%. 89 opinions, 40% Raise 0.50 p.p.
- Raise 0.25 p.p. — 30%
- Raise 0.50 p.p. — 40%
- Keep unchanged — 25%
- Reduce — 4%
Deadline: December 17, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions
Resolution rules
On the eve of the November Copom decision, the stock market dropped by more than 1%. Analysts are discussing fiscal risks and the lack of shortcuts to lower interest rates in Brazil, signaling a pressured environment for monetary policy.
Source: www.estadao.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
O mercado resolve com base na decisão oficial do Copom (Banco Central do Brasil) divulgada na ata e comunicado de política monetária referente à reunião de dezembro de 2026, disponível em bcb.gov.br. A opção vencedora é a que corresponder exatamente à decisão anunciada.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Raise 0.50 p.p. has 40% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 60 points, a wrong one costs about 40.