Politics · Open for opinions
Will the cumulative volume of bets on the US midterms exceed $2 billion between Kalshi and Polymarket by 11/30/2023?
The combined amount has already surpassed $1.4 billion and continues to accelerate ahead of the November 2023 election. 87 opinions, 56% Yes
- Yes — 56%
- No — 44%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 87 opinions
Resolution rules
The combined amount has already surpassed $1.4 billion and continues to accelerate ahead of the November 2023 election.
Source: www.cnn.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 27/10/20239 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/20239 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o volume somado de negociações em contratos eleitorais das midterms de 20239 nas plataformas Kalshi e Polymarket atingir mais de US$ 2,0 bilhões até 30/11/20239, conforme dados públicos oficiais dos dashboards da Kalshi e Polymarket ou apuração da CNN. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 56% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 44 points, a wrong one costs about 56.