Science · Open for opinions
Will the LUX-ZEPLIN collaboration confirm a dark matter detection with a 5-sigma significance by November 30, 2026?
Considers official announcements of the LZ collaboration between 10/17 and 11/30 following the detection of a preliminary 2.6-sigma… 81 opinions, 85% No
- Yes — 15%
- No — 85%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 81 opinions
Resolution rules
Considers official announcements of the LZ collaboration between 10/17 and 11/30 following the detection of a preliminary 2.6-sigma signal.
Source: www.sciencenews.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 17/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a colaboração científica do LUX-ZEPLIN (LZ) ou periódico peer-reviewed (como Physical Review Letters) publicar confirmação de sinal de matéria escura atingindo o limiar formal de descoberta de 5 sigmas (5σ) até 30/11/2026, conforme comunicado pelo Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL) ou SURF. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 85% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 15 points, a wrong one costs about 85.