World · Open for opinions
Will the US annual PCE inflation drop below 3% in any reading released by December 2026?
The August 2026 annual PCE came in at 3.4%, above the Fed's 2% target. 74 opinions, 74% No
- Yes — 26%
- No — 74%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 74 opinions
Resolution rules
The August 2026 annual PCE came in at 3.4%, above the Fed's 2% target. Officials signaled that inflation remains elevated, making a drop below 3% in the short term an uncertain scenario.
Source: www.ktsm.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido pelo dado oficial do índice PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) anual divulgado pelo Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) para qualquer mês até dezembro de 2026. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se o PCE anual registrado for inferior a 3,0%.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 74% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 26 points, a wrong one costs about 74.