Science · Open for opinions
What will be the next official milestone announced by a government space agency (NASA, ESA, or equivalent) for a crewed mission aimed at Mars exploration by April 2027?
An October 2026 study reinforced the medical feasibility of human missions to Mars by demonstrating that… 85 opinions, 55% No official milestone announced
- Announcement of a date for a crewed mission before 2040 — 15%
- Start of testing phase in a Mars-analog environment (Earth or Moon) — 20%
- Formal crew selection for a Martian mission — 9%
- No official milestone announced — 55%
Deadline: April 30, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 85 opinions
Resolution rules
An October 2026 study reinforced the medical feasibility of human missions to Mars by demonstrating that astronauts' hearts tolerate the transition to simulated Martian gravity well. This could accelerate space agency announcements regarding crewed mission timelines.
Source: www.sciencedaily.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base em comunicado oficial publicado nos sites das agências (nasa.gov, esa.int ou equivalente nacional) até 30/04/2027, identificando qual dos marcos acima foi formalmente divulgado. Se mais de um ocorrer, prevalece o de maior relevância estratégica.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No official milestone announced has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.