Finance · Open for opinions
Will any U.S. state pass a law banning prediction market platforms by early 2027?
Various state initiatives are attempting to make prediction market platforms illegal in the U.S., amid explosive growth in trading… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Various state initiatives are attempting to make prediction market platforms illegal in the U.S., amid explosive growth in trading during the 2026 midterm election season.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se ao menos um estado dos EUA promulgar lei estadual que proíba ou restrinja significativamente a operação de plataformas de mercados de previsão (como Kalshi ou Polymarket) para residentes locais até 28 de fevereiro de 2027, conforme publicação em diário oficial estadual ou notícia confirmada por fonte jornalística de referência (Reuters, AP ou Bloomberg).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.