Technology · Open for opinions
Will Mistral's ML4 model reach a top-five position in the public Chatbot Arena (LMSYS) ranking by March 2027?
French startup Mistral introduced its ML4 model in October 2026, described as the 'world's best open model', built with a fraction of… 81 opinions, 62% No
- Yes — 38%
- No — 62%
Deadline: March 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 81 opinions
Resolution rules
French startup Mistral introduced its ML4 model in October 2026, described as the 'world's best open model', built with a fraction of the computing power of its competitors. The model enters a market dominated by OpenAI and Anthropic.
Source: www.cnnbrasil.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada na classificação oficial do leaderboard público do LMSYS Chatbot Arena (chat.lmsys.org). O mercado resolve 'Sim' se o ML4 da Mistral constar entre os cinco modelos com maior pontuação ELO no ranking geral até 31/03/2027.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.