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Will US inflation (annual CPI) in October 2026 exceed 4%?

US CPI accelerated to 3.7% in September 2026 (up from 3.4% in August), pressured by gasoline prices linked to the conflict with Iran… 81 opinions, 68% No

  • Yes — 32%
  • No — 68%

Deadline: November 25, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 81 opinions

Resolution rules

US CPI accelerated to 3.7% in September 2026 (up from 3.4% in August), pressured by gasoline prices linked to the conflict with Iran and AI chip costs. Economists and the Federal Reserve are monitoring whether the upward trend will continue in the coming months.

Source: www.courthousenews.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução com base no relatório oficial do CPI (Consumer Price Index) divulgado pelo Departamento do Trabalho dos EUA (Bureau of Labor Statistics) referente ao mês de outubro de 2026. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se a variação anual do CPI de outubro for superior a 4,0%.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 68% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 32 points, a wrong one costs about 68.

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