Finance · Open for opinions
Will Canada publish formal regulation classifying prediction markets as securities or derivatives by 31/01/2027?
Prediction markets are being analyzed under Canadian securities and derivatives law, while sports and political betting remain under… 28 opinions, 54% No
- Yes — 46%
- No — 54%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 28 opinions
Resolution rules
Prediction markets are being analyzed under Canadian securities and derivatives law, while sports and political betting remain under a regulated gambling regime. The regulatory outcome is still open.
Source: www.linkedin.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se qualquer autoridade regulatória canadense (OSC, AMF ou equivalente federal) publicar, até 31/01/2027, regulamentação ou orientação vinculante que enquadre formalmente plataformas de mercado de previsão como valores mobiliários ou derivativos. Resolve 'Não' caso contrário. Fonte: comunicados oficiais das agências regulatórias canadenses.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 54% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 46 points, a wrong one costs about 54.