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Will the conflict between the US and Iran result in a formal ceasefire or truce agreement by the end of 2026?

Snippets indicate that the 'Iran War' generated an oil market crisis that reignited US inflation, leading the Fed to raise interest… 38 opinions, 79% No

  • Yes — 21%
  • No — 79%

Deadline: December 28, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 38 opinions

Resolution rules

Snippets indicate that the 'Iran War' generated an oil market crisis that reignited US inflation, leading the Fed to raise interest rates. The conflict is ongoing as of September 2026.

Source: www.facebook.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se EUA e Irã (ou seus representantes) assinarem ou anunciarem formalmente um cessar-fogo, trégua ou acordo de cessação das hostilidades até 31/12/2026, confirmado por fonte oficial de qualquer dos governos ou pela ONU. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 79% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 21 points, a wrong one costs about 79.

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