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Politics · Open for opinions

Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic Party by December 31, 2026?

The question 'Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?' was among the most popular markets on Kalshi in September 2026,… 26 opinions, 73% No

  • Yes — 27%
  • No — 73%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 26 opinions

Resolution rules

The question 'Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?' was among the most popular markets on Kalshi in September 2026, reflecting political speculation around the senator's independent behavior.

Source: milehighsports.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o senador John Fetterman anunciar publicamente sua saída formal do Partido Democrata (filiação a outro partido ou declaração de independente) e isso for confirmado por fontes oficiais do Senado dos EUA (senate.gov) ou notícias de grande circulação até 31/12/2026. Resolve 'Não' caso contrário.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 73% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 27 points, a wrong one costs about 73.

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