Technology · Open for opinions
Which prediction market platform will have the highest trading volume in the US by the end of 2026?
In 2026, the US prediction market has become competitive: Kalshi leads in legal reach and infrastructure, Polymarket leads in… 20 opinions, 20% Kalshi
- Kalshi — 20%
- Polymarket — 20%
- Robinhood Markets — 20%
- FanDuel — 20%
- DraftKings — 20%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
In 2026, the US prediction market has become competitive: Kalshi leads in legal reach and infrastructure, Polymarket leads in political liquidity, while Robinhood, FanDuel, and DraftKings have entered the sector strongly.
Source: www.oddsshopper.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução pela plataforma com maior volume total de contratos negociados em 2026 nos EUA, conforme relatório público das próprias plataformas, da CFTC ou de análise consolidada de veículo especializado reconhecido (ex: Covers, OddsShopper ou similar).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Kalshi has 20% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 80 points, a wrong one costs about 20.