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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the combined weekly volume of Polymarket and Kalshi exceed $3 billion by December 31, 2026?

In August 2026, the combined weekly volume of Polymarket and Kalshi reached $2 billion, the highest ever recorded, according to… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

In August 2026, the combined weekly volume of Polymarket and Kalshi reached $2 billion, the highest ever recorded, according to HuffPost. The sector's accelerated growth trajectory raises the question of whether the $3 billion mark will be reached in 2026.

Source: www.facebook.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se qualquer fonte de dados pública confiável (Dune Analytics, relatório oficial da Kalshi ou comunicado do Polymarket) registrar volume semanal combinado das duas plataformas acima de US$ 3 bilhões em qualquer semana até 31/12/2026. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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