Finance · Open for opinions
Will any U.S. court rule against Kalshi or Polymarket in the lawsuits filed by states by March 31, 2027?
State attorneys general from both Republican and Democratic states have filed lawsuits against Kalshi and Polymarket, arguing that… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
State attorneys general from both Republican and Democratic states have filed lawsuits against Kalshi and Polymarket, arguing that the platforms effectively operate as unlicensed sportsbooks. New York City also opened a formal investigation into both in July 2026.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se qualquer tribunal federal ou estadual dos EUA emitir decisão de mérito (não liminar) desfavorável à Kalshi ou à Polymarket em ação movida por Procurador-Geral estadual, conforme registros judiciais públicos (PACER ou equivalente). Resolve como 'Não' se nenhuma decisão de mérito contrária for proferida até a data de encerramento.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.