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Will the conflict involving Iran formally end by the end of 2026?

Will the conflict involving Iran formally end by the end of 2026? 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

Source: thehill.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se um cessar-fogo formal ou acordo de paz envolvendo o Irã for anunciado e confirmado por fontes oficiais internacionais (ONU, governos envolvidos ou agências de notícias de referência como Reuters ou AP) até 31 de dezembro de 2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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