Finance · Open for opinions
Will the global monthly trading volume in prediction markets exceed US$ 30 billion by December 2026?
According to the Pew Research Center, prediction markets reached US$ 24 billion in global monthly volume in 2026, up from US$ 5… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
According to the Pew Research Center, prediction markets reached US$ 24 billion in global monthly volume in 2026, up from US$ 5 billion in September 2025, indicating accelerated growth.
Source: finance.yahoo.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Pew Research Center ou outro instituto de pesquisa de referência equivalente publicar dado indicando volume mensal global superior a US$ 30 bilhões em mercados de previsão em qualquer mês até dezembro de 2026. Resolve como 'Não' caso nenhum dado público confirmado atinja esse patamar até 2026-12-31.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.