Finance · Open for opinions
Will the primary deficit of the Brazilian central government stay within the fiscal target set for 2026, considering the expanded tolerance band of up to R$ 10.8 billion?
The federal government increased the margin to meet the 2026 fiscal target within the fiscal framework from R$ 4.1 billion to R$… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: January 20, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The federal government increased the margin to meet the 2026 fiscal target within the fiscal framework from R$ 4.1 billion to R$ 10.8 billion. The performance of public accounts is under intense scrutiny by the financial market.
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Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o Tesouro Nacional divulgar, até 20/01/2027, que o resultado primário do governo central em 2026 ficou dentro do intervalo de tolerância da meta fiscal vigente (banda de até R$ 10,8 bilhões). Fonte: Nota de Imprensa do Resultado do Tesouro Nacional (RTN) referente ao exercício de 2026.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.