Finance · Open for opinions
Will the United States Congress formally introduce a federal bill to regulate prediction market platforms by March 2027?
With the growth of platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, surveys showing losses for most users, and ongoing state regulatory actions,… 25 opinions, 72% No
- Yes — 28%
- No — 72%
Deadline: March 11, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 25 opinions
Resolution rules
With the growth of platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, surveys showing losses for most users, and ongoing state regulatory actions, the debate over federal regulation of prediction markets is intensifying in the US.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução mediante registro de projeto de lei (bill) no sistema oficial do Congresso americano (congress.gov) com escopo explícito de regulamentação de plataformas de mercados de previsão (prediction markets) até 2027-03-11.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 72% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 28 points, a wrong one costs about 72.