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Will total US public debt exceed $41 trillion by December 31, 2026?

US public debt surpassed $40 trillion in August 2026. 64 opinions, 69% Yes

  • Yes — 69%
  • No — 31%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 64 opinions

Resolution rules

US public debt surpassed $40 trillion in August 2026. With a heated economy and government spending pressures, analysts are monitoring the growth rate of indebtedness.

Source: www.cnbc.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se o Departamento do Tesouro dos EUA registrar dívida pública total superior a US$ 41 trilhões em qualquer data até 31/12/2026, conforme dados publicados em fiscaldata.treasury.gov.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 69% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 31 points, a wrong one costs about 69.

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Will total US public debt exceed $41 trillion by December 31, 2026? — 69% Yes · VoxFi