Finance · Open for opinions
Will the federal government meet the primary result target of the fiscal framework in 2026?
With gross debt at 82.9% of GDP in September 2026 — the highest level since 2021 — there is heavy pressure on public accounts. 87 opinions, 62% No
- Yes — 38%
- No — 62%
Deadline: March 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions
Resolution rules
With gross debt at 82.9% of GDP in September 2026 — the highest level since 2021 — there is heavy pressure on public accounts. The fulfillment of the 2026 fiscal target is debated by the market and specialized press.
Source: www.cnnbrasil.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o Tesouro Nacional ou o Banco Central confirmarem, no relatório fiscal de fechamento de 2026 (publicado em 2027), que o resultado primário do governo central ficou dentro do intervalo de tolerância estabelecido pela Lei Complementar do Arcabouço Fiscal para 2026. Fonte: Tesouro Nacional (tesourotransparente.tesouro.gov.br) e Banco Central (bcb.gov.br).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.