Finance · Open for opinions
Will any U.S. state succeed in legally banning prediction market platforms (such as Kalshi or Polymarket) before the November 2026 elections?
Second post from KTVOTV (09/09/2026), states are actively trying to ban the platforms while election trading volume soars during the… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: November 3, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Second post from KTVOTV (09/09/2026), states are actively trying to ban the platforms while election trading volume soars during the election season.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se ao menos um estado dos EUA publicar lei ou ordem judicial com força executiva proibindo a operação de plataformas de mercados de previsão eleitorais até 03/11/2026, confirmado por fonte oficial estatal ou AP/Reuters. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.