Politics · Open for opinions
Who will lead the Polymarket odds for the Democratic nomination for the US presidency in 2028 on November 30, 2026?
In August 2026, the Polymarket market for the 2028 Democratic nomination is already one of the most active,… 32 opinions, 25% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez — 25%
- Jon Ossoff — 19%
- Gavin Newsom — 16%
- Kamala Harris — 25%
- Another candidate — 16%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 32 opinions
Resolution rules
In August 2026, the Polymarket market for the 2028 Democratic nomination is already one of the most active, with AOC at 21%, Ossoff at 15%, Newsom at 14%, and Harris at 7%, with no clear favorite.
Source: www.oregonlive.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base na probabilidade implícita (odds) exibida publicamente no mercado oficial do Polymarket para 'Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028' às 23h59 (horário de Nova York) do dia 30/11/2026. O candidato com a maior porcentagem naquele momento vence o mercado. Fonte: polymarket.com, mercado público de nomeação democrata 2028.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has 25% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 75 points, a wrong one costs about 25.