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Technology · Open for opinions

What will be the cumulative performance of the Nasdaq 100 index through December 31, 2026?

The CAPE index points to overvaluation of the American market, especially in the technology sector driven… 25 opinions, 44% Change between -10% and +10%

  • Gain greater than 10% — 32%
  • Change between -10% and +10% — 44%
  • Decline greater than 10% — 24%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 25 opinions

Resolution rules

The CAPE index points to overvaluation of the American market, especially in the technology sector driven by AI, generating debate about the sustainability of recent gains (source [1]).

Source: www.gate.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve com base na variação percentual acumulada do Nasdaq 100 (NDX) entre 11/09/2026 e 31/12/2026, conforme dado oficial publicado pela Nasdaq ou Bloomberg. Usa-se o preço de fechamento de cada data.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Change between -10% and +10% has 44% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 56 points, a wrong one costs about 44.

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