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Technology · Open for opinions

Will the Mistral ML4 model reach a top 5 position in the LMSYS Chatbot Arena ranking by December 31, 2026?

On October 6, 2026, Mistral launched the open model ML4, described by the company as the world's best in its category and built with… 79 opinions, 72% No

  • Yes — 28%
  • No — 72%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 79 opinions

Resolution rules

On October 6, 2026, Mistral launched the open model ML4, described by the company as the world's best in its category and built with a fraction of the computational power of its competitors. The market is contested with giants like OpenAI and Anthropic, and open models like Reflection's Beam.

Source: www.cnnbrasil.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução como 'Sim' se o modelo Mistral ML4 aparecer entre as 5 primeiras posições do ranking geral do LMSYS Chatbot Arena (lmarena.ai) em qualquer atualização pública até 31/12/2026. Fonte: lmarena.ai (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard).

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 72% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 28 points, a wrong one costs about 72.

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Will the Mistral ML4 model reach a top 5 position in the LMSYS… — 72% No · VoxFi